Archive for the ‘News’ Category
Bayes’ Rule is a theorem from probability theory about how to adjust your confidence in your beliefs, as you learn new information. It’s often featured in CFAR workshops. In a recent video blog, Julia uses animations to explain how Bayes’ Rule works, and how she uses it in her everyday reasoning and decision making:
We spend a fair amount of time at CFAR workshops tackling “bugs” in our daily lives. But does learning to solve small problems really make a big difference? Recent CFAR alum and Oxford student, Ben Albert Pace, posted this thoughtful discussion of the “debugging” mindset on his personal blog. Excerpt below; read the whole thing
We’re back from running our first-ever rationality workshop in Boston. (Well, actually, a rustic retreat in Harvard, MA, about 50 minutes outside of Boston). We usually try a few new things each time we run a workshop, while keeping most of our tried-and-true features constant. This workshop was no exception. For one, we had an
We’ll be taking people’s questions about life, philosophy, and rationality, and giving them our best off-the-cuff answers here on the CFAR blog. Q: “How do we confront the fact that having false beliefs is sometimes more efficient and productive?” A: I’m willing to accept that, in principle, false beliefs can help you achieve your goals.
What’s one thing you can do to improve your physical and mental health, be happier and more successful? Before I tell you the answer, first try answering these questions (interpretation in the footnotes ). For each question select the statement (a or b) that you agree with the most. a) Many of the unhappy things